2027: State of the parties (3)
It’s about three weeks to the primaries for 2027 general elections. Political activities are building up to a frenzy. But how prepared are parties in the 36 states and FCT?
It's about three weeks to the primaries for 2027 general elections. Political activities are building up to a frenzy. But how prepared are parties in the 36 states and FCT? In this concluding x-ray of the state of the parties, Managing Editor, Northern Operation, Yusuf Alli, Deputy Editor, Emmanuel Oladesu, and a team of correspondents take a close look at how they are faring in the Southeast and Northeast Zones. There are additional reports from Onimisi Alao (Adamawa), David Adenuga (Bauchi), Duku Joel (Borno/Yobe), John Mkom (Taraba), Nwanosike Onu (Anambra), Chris Njoku (Imo), Damian Duruiheoma (Enugu) and Ogochukwu Anioke (Ebonyi).
HOW THE PARTIES STAND
NORTHEAST ZONE
ADAMAWA STATE
In Adamawa State, the most prominent parties are APC and ADC. The SDP is existing peripherally. But the two dominant parties have been experiencing lots of crises in the approach to the next polls.
APC
This is a party of heavyweights which has made internal cohesion challenging. State governor, Ahmadu Fintiri, has defected to APC to make it more crowded and complex to manage.
The problems of APC are the influence of its bigwigs, managing the consequence of Fintiri's defection from PDP, the aged mistrust among legacy members, lack of unity and too many ambitious members.
The immediate past Executive Secretary of Petroleum Technology Development Fund (PDTF), Alhaji Ahmed Galadima, former spokesman of the House of Representatives, Hon Abdulrazak Namdas, and Senator Aminu Iya Abbas, were in the news on Wednesday, April 23, for either officially declaring their aspiration to run for the office of governor of Adamawa State, or reiterating such aspiration.
The three, as well as Hon. Salihu Girei and Dr. Felix Tangwami who also got shares of news coverage.
APC, by far the party with the highest number of members aspiring to be governor, also has others in the race that includes young businessmen Alhaji Abdulrahman Haske and Diaulhaq Abubakar.
The immediate past national vice chairman of the party for Northeast, Comrade Salihu Mustapha and a few others who were identified with aspiration, are said to have accepted advice to step down. Salihu Mustapha, in particular, is conceding to Ahmed Galadima.
Many others who have been counselled to drop their aspiration have been resisting such advice, with one, Chief Maurice Vunobolki, leaving the party entirely. Another person, Dr. Emmanuel Musa, has chosen to withdraw from the activities of the party for now. He said he wants to give it a chance to retrace its steps from strict consensus arrangement.
This mode of selecting the flag bearer which currently favours Galadima, widely believed to be backed by National Security Adviser, Mallam Nuhu Ribadu, is currently a sore point in Adamawa APC. It is a problem that could degenerate into a real destructive sore for its chances of producing the next governor unless handled with care.
Sen. Abbas and Hon. Namdas have been particularly vocal about their objection to what they call an attempt to foist a candidate in the name of consensus. The former asserted last Wednesday that he was not backing down for anyone.
If a governorship candidate emerges amidst such a contentious atmosphere, the defeat of APC in Adamawa in 2019 and 2023 in similar circumstances, because of aggrieved party members working against the party, appears likely, again, this time.
ADC is in an even more uncertain situation in the state. It has no leadership accepted by all stakeholders and currently has at least three factions.
One is loyal to former Vice President Atiku Abubakar, another aligns with former Secretary to the Government of the Federation (SGF), Babachir Lawal, and yet a different faction recently suspended Atiku and Babachir from the party.
The instability in ADC has had a telling effect on prominent individuals who joined the party to run for governorship. They include Senators Aishatu Ahmed Binani, Senators Ishaku Abbo and Jibrilla Bindow. None of these individuals is currently doing anything to advance their aspiration. Some are said to be earnestly considering defection from the party.
The only other party is SDP which is being driven by a former APC state secretary, Warfarninyi Theman, who defected to the party last year. He is also the national vice chairman for the Northeast.
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Theman who was one of the five men that Binani defeated in the 2023 primaries, told inquisitive journalists earlier this year that he is now a more experienced and better prepared aspirant.
Of the three parties with aspirants, APC is most likely to make impact, except for the controversial consensus option being rejected by many.
If the party is able to resolve the issue and work to produce a governorship candidate who is widely accepted, it has a big chance.
On the other hand, if it picks a candidate without first resolving these issues, it could lose Adamawa the way it did in 2019 and 2023 when intra-party rancour deprived it of the unity of purpose.
On the other side, ADC which also currently parades at least three prominent aspirants in Binani, Bindow and Abbo, is similarly troubled given that it doesn't have a single state leadership acceptable to all.
This is how uncertain the path to the governorship election in 2027 is in Adamawa. It may also shape 2027 poll for others positions.
BAUCHI STATE
As Bauchi State moves closer to the 2027 general elections, its political landscape is gradually taking shape, driven by internal party dynamics, key actors, and strategic positioning ahead of the contest. Analysts say the outcome may depend less on popularity and more on how well parties manage internal differences, build grassroots support, and organise their structures.
Constitutionally, Governor Bala Mohammed of PDP will complete his second term and leave office, ending an administration that has shaped the state's political direction since 2019. His exit has opened up the space, setting the stage for a fresh and competitive race.
Historically, Bauchi politics has been marked by intense power struggles, especially during transition periods. Since 1999, leadership changes have come with strong competition, shifting alliances, and at times, tension.
Observers note that elections in Bauchi are rarely straightforward, as local factors such as regional balance, personal networks, and grassroots acceptance often play a bigger role than party strength.
While several parties are expected to field candidates, attention is focused on three major players: APC, PDP, and ADC.
Each party enters the race with its own strengths and challenges, making the 2027 contest one of the most open in recent years.
APC: Set to reclaim power
The APC is gradually positioning itself as a strong contender in Bauchi. The party has expanded its base and improved coordination among its leaders and supporters.
Many observers believe its chances will depend largely on the ability to stay united and present a candidate with wide acceptance.
One of its key strengths is its growing grassroots network. In several local government areas, APC leaders have continued to build relationship with voters, traditional institutions, and political groups as part of a long-term plan to regain power after losing the state in 2019 and 2023.
The party controls two of the three senatorial districts - Bauchi South and Bauchi North - with Bauchi South alone accounting for about 63 per cent of the state's voter population.
Bauchi South has dominated the governorship for over two decades, producing former governors like Ahmadu Adamu Mu'azu, Isa Yuguda, Mohammed Abubakar, and the incumbent Bala Mohammed of PDP.
The zone also boasts of strong political figures such as member representing Alkaleri/Kirfi Federal Constituency, Alhaji Yusuf Kabiru, a former Speaker of the House of Representatives, Yakubu Dogara, who controls three local government areas (Bogoro, Dass, and Tafawa Balewa), a former national chairman, Alhaji Ahmadu Adamu Mu'azu, respected elder statesman, Alhaji Muhammadu Bello Kirfi and former Governor Ahmed Mua'zu.
Other high ranking party chieftains from the zone include Senator Shehu Buba, who currently represents it on the upper chamber, Dr. Bala Maijama'a Wunti, a former executive of Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) who has declared his interest to contest for governorship, and the serving APC Chairman, Alhaji Muhammad Hassan Tilde.
In Bauchi North, a former Minister of Foreign Affairs, Ambassador Yusuf Maitama Tuggar, is a force to reckon with. He recently resigned to pursue his gubernatorial ambition.
There is also Auwalu Abdu Gwalabe, a member of the House of Representatives (Katagum Federal Constituency), Bashir Uba Mashema, who represents Jama'are/Itas Gadau Federal Constituency and Sen. Samaila Dahuwa Kaila who represents Bauchi North.
Bauchi Central also features key players such as: Minister for Health and Social Welfare, Muhammad Ali Pate, Mansur Manu Soro, a member of the House of Representatives for Darazo/Ganjuwa Federal Constituency.
APC currently holds five of the twelve House of Representatives seats in the state.
Analysts say the party has learnt from past mistakes in 2019 and 2023, when internal disagreements weakened its chances despite strong prospects.
In 2019, it won the presidential vote but lost the governorship due to internal divisions and the strong appeal of Bala Mohammed. A similar pattern played out in 2023, where a disputed primary affected unity and mobilisation.
For 2027, the party's path to victory lies in unity, strong grassroots mobilisation, and careful candidate selection. If it manages internal differences, APC stands a strong chance of reclaiming power.
PDP: Facing uncertainty after Bala Mohammed
For PDP, the situation is more complex. While it currently controls the state government, it faces internal challenges that could affect its chances.
A major issue is its reliance on Governor Mohammed, who has been the central figure holding the party together. With his exit approaching, it faces the task of finding a new leader with similar influence.
This comes amid national-level divisions, including the crisis linked to the Nyesom Wike faction, which has further diminished the party.
In Bauchi, PDP's dilemma has raised concerns about the party's structure and direction. Though it still has loyal members, its ability to organise effectively without a unifying figure is in doubt.
Uncertainty has deepened with speculation that the governor could leave PDP. His recent comments suggest frustration, describing the party as “headless” and hinting at possible alternatives. A few days ago, he met Peter Obi, and described himself thereafter as a 'freelance politician' without commitment to any platform.
If he exits, he is expected to move with key loyalists, including top state officials and party leaders, which could weaken PDP further.
This situation has opened the door for other parties, especially ADC, to court him.
Despite this, PDP leaders remain confident. They insist the party still has strong grassroots support and point to its achievements since 2019.
They also maintain that internal issues have been resolved and that the party is ready for 2027, urging the governor to remain and help stabilise the party.
However, analysts warn that confidence alone may not be enough. Without clear leadership, unity, and strong organisation, the party would struggle to retain power.
The coming months will be critical as PDP decides how to manage the possible departure of its leader, rebuild its structure, and present a credible candidate.
ADC
ADC has begun to emerge as a possible third force, boosted by interest from key political leaders and northern influence.
However, recent developments have slowed its progress. INEC's decision to withdraw recognition of the party's leadership has created uncertainty about its future.
The electoral body has stated it will not recognise any faction until internal disputes are resolved, leaving the party without clear direction.
This has made it difficult to organise, conduct primaries, or prepare fully for the elections. For aspiring politicians, considering ADC raises anxiety about its stability and ability to compete effectively.
It has also affected efforts to lure Governor Mohammed into its camp, despite earlier ranking as a strong alternative platform. Still, the party retains potential. If it resolves its internal issues and regains stability, it could play a significant role in 2027.
For now, APC holds a clear early advantage, with growing momentum, while PDP faces uncertainty and ADC struggles with internal crisis.
However, Bauchi voters are known for making independent choices. Past elections show they can shift support based on local realities rather than party loyalty.
BORNO STATE
The political atmosphere in Borno State is gradually heating up ahead of the next general elections, with new alignments and shifting loyalties beginning to test the long-standing dominance of APC.
For over a decade, the party has maintained near-total control of Borno's political structure, winning elections across local, state, and federal levels with little resistance. Its dominance has been reinforced by strong grassroots networks and the influence of key political figures, including Governor Babagana Umara Zulum and Vice President Kashim Shettima, and the out-of-favour political godfather of the state, Senator Ali Modu Sheriff.
However, recent developments suggest that the ruling party may be facing an unusual level of pressure, not from its traditional rivals, but from a reconfigured opposition platform.
ADC's rising profile
The emergence of Kolo Bukar, a former PDP chairman in the state, as the new chairman of ADC, has sparked fresh conversations. His defection and subsequent leadership role are widely seen as a strategic move to consolidate opposition forces under a new platform.
Observers note that the party is gaining traction, particularly with reports of intensified grassroots mobilisation across several local government areas in the state. The involvement of influential figures such as Kashim Ibrahim Imam, a known PDP stalwart, is further boosting its credibility and reach.
During their inauguration at Barwee Hotel in Maiduguri penultimate week, Hon. Kolo emphasised that despite the challenges ADC is facing, it would weather the storm and emerge victorious at all levels.
Speaking on the party's strategy to wrest power from APC, Hon. Bukar, a former member of the Borno State House of Assembly, said: “We know the terrain, we know the topography of the state, we know the people and we know how to confront them."
There is also speculation that ADC is adopting a calculated approach, closely monitoring APC's candidate selection process, before unveiling its own contenders, a strategy aimed at maximising electoral advantage.
PDP's slide into obscurity
Once the strongest opposition force in Borno, PDP has steadily lost relevance. Years of defections, internal crises, and weakened structures have reduced it to a marginal player in the state's political equation.
Many of its former heavyweights have either joined APC or are now aligning with alternative platforms like ADC, effectively hollowing out the party's base.
Optics ahead
The emerging political optics in Borno suggest a shift from a one-party dominance to a potential two-bloc contest, though still heavily tilted in favour of APC. Key trends include:
●APC's structural advantage: The ruling party still commands loyalty across most wards and local governments.
●ADC as a coalition hub: The party appears to be positioning itself as the new rallying point for displaced opposition figures.
●Strategic patience by ADC: Waiting for APC's candidate selection could allow ADC to field more competitive contenders or even pick from strong disgruntled APC members that may have lost in the game.
●Erosion of PDP Influence: The party is unlikely to play any significant role unless a dramatic revival occurs but this is very unlikely as it stands.
●Game changers to watch:
Several factors and actors are expected to shape the electoral outcome:
●Candidate selection within APC: Internal consensus or conflict over candidates could either strengthen or weaken the party's cohesion.
●Opposition unity under ADC: The ability of the ADC to sustain its momentum and attract more defectors will be critical.
●Influence of political heavyweights: Figures like Zulum, VP Shettima, Sen. Ali Sheriff, and emerging ADC leaders will play decisive roles in mobilization and voter perception.
●Grassroots mobilisation: The depth of ADC's reported grassroots push could determine whether it becomes a real threat or remains symbolic.
●Voters' sentiment: Public perception of governance, security, and economic conditions will influence voting patterns.
While APC remains firmly in control of Borno's political landscape, the growing visibility of ADC signals a subtle but important shift.
The 2027 elections in Borno may not yet represent a full-scale contest between equals, but they could mark the beginning of a more competitive political era - one where internal dynamics within APC and the consolidation of opposition forces under ADC shape the final outcome.
TARABA STATE
At least three parties are competitively positioning themselves from ward to local and state levels in preparation for the upcoming general elections.
APC is the ruling party in the state, with 168 councillors, 16 local government council chairmen, and a sitting governor, Agbu Kefas. The party has also strategically aligned itself with cabinet members, 24 members of the State House of Assembly, advisers to the governor, and special assistants at all levels.
Governor Kefas's defection from PDP to APC, accompanied by the majority of the former's state working committee (SWC) members, has positioned the latter as a formidable competitor in Taraba. PDP, which has been plagued by internal crises, is also poised to compete strongly in the 2027 elections.
The party has recently been boosted by the return of Senator Emmanuel Bwacha, the 2023 APC governorship candidate, who has returned to his former party.
The seasoned politician with grassroots followers, abandoned APC after Governor Kefas joined the party and took over its structures. Bwacha has been eyeing the governorship of Taraba since 2015.
Despite facing internal legal battles, with three factions vying for control, PDP is optimistic about its chances. The contending wings include the Bitrus Obidal-led faction, which existed before its crisis, and Wike faction, which recently conducted state congresses and produced two different State Working Committees.
One faction is led by Mr. Victor Falake, while the other is fronted by Alhaji Abba Saleh, believed to be anointed by Senator Bwacha. Saleh's emergence as chairman is seen as a guarantee of PDP's governorship ticket for Bwacha. With the senator on the ballot, the governorship race is expected to be a tough contest.
Another development brewing is the rumoured defection of former Governor Jolly Nyame from APC to Bwacha's PDP. His ambition to secure the Taraba North Senatorial Zone ticket under APC hit a dead end, prompting him to realign with his former protégé to pursue his aspirations.
If Nyame and Bwacha form an alliance under PDP against the ruling APC, PDP could become a strong contender, provided its internal disputes are resolved.
Meanwhile, ADC has been quietly sensitising the political class on the need for fresh air in state.
The election in Taraba is expected to be influenced by religion, with Christians having dominated the governorship since 1999, while Muslims are agitating for a chance at the helm of affairs.
ADC boasts of two prominent Muslim politicians: Senator Abubakar Tutare and Prof. Sani Yahaya, the 2023 governorship candidate of NNPP, who came second at the polls.
Yahaya, a former Vice-Chancellor of Taraba State University (TSU), is a well-known figure in the state's politics and may leverage his last electoral experience to challenge Christian candidates from PDP and APC.
If he emerges as ADC's governorship candidate, Bwacha as PDP's flag bearer, and incumbent Governor Kefas as APC's candidate, the three parties will engage in a fierce contest, making any of them a formidable contender in the state.
YOBE STATE
APC's entrenched dominance
Recent electoral outcomes underscore the overwhelming control of the APC across Yobe State. In the 2024 Local Government elections, it swept all 17 chairmanship seats and councillorship positions, with many contests going unopposed.
This dominance is not new. Since the 2019 general elections, APC has maintained near-total control of legislative seats at both state and federal levels, reinforcing Yobe's reputation as one of the party's strongest strongholds nationwide.
However, beneath this surface of electoral invincibility, analysts point to internal party dynamics, loyalty networks, zoning debates, and succession battles as the real battleground shaping the 2027 elections.
PDP: From strong opposition to marginal player
The PDP, once the most viable opposition in the state, has seen its influence eroded significantly if not completely obliterated.
Although the party recorded a symbolic victory in the 2023 presidential election in the state - where its candidate, Atiku Abubakar, polled higher votes than his APC counterpart President Tinubu, this success did not translate into structural political gains at the state level.
Today, PDP suffers from weak grassroots structures, defections, and diminished visibility, leaving it largely ineffective in local contests and mobilisation. Former Minister of Police Affairs, Adamu Maina Waziri, who was widely regarded as the last surviving patriarch and soul of the party has also left, spelling more doom for the party.
ADC and emerging alternatives
Amid the weakening of traditional opposition forces, ADC is gradually being viewed as a potential alternative platform.
While still lacking the statewide machinery of APC, ADC is gaining modest traction among politically displaced actors, youth groups, and reform-minded stakeholders seeking a fresh identity. Its appeal lies less in its current strength and more in its potential to serve as a coalition hub for dissenting voices.
The presence of Waziri in ADC does not pose any threats to the electoral victory of the ruling APC. Analysts, who follow the state's politics at a close range, do not see it as a threat.
Other parties like LP and NNPP remain peripheral, with minimal organisational presence in the state despite national visibility.
Optics ahead of the next elections
The optics heading into the next electoral cycle suggest a dominant-party system with internal fragmentation rather than inter-party competition. Key trends include:
APC vs APC: The real contest is expected within the ruling party, particularly over succession, zoning, and elite alignments.
Weak opposition field: Opposition parties are unlikely to mount a statewide challenge unless a coalition emerges.
Voter apathy risk: With limited competition, turnout and enthusiasm could hinge on intra-party rivalries rather than ideological choices.
Game changers to watch
Several factors and actors are likely to shape the outcome of future elections:
Power brokers within APC: Figures linked to the political structures of former and current leaders such as networks around Mai Mala Buni and Ibrahim Gaidam will determine candidate emergence and party cohesion.
Zoning and regional balance: Agitations, particularly from Yobe South and Yobe North for power rotation, could redefine alliances and voting patterns.
Youth and civil mobilisation: Growing youth engagement, especially within APC structures and emerging parties, may influence candidate selection and campaign narratives.
Opposition realignment: Any meaningful merger or coalition potentially anchored by ADC could introduce a competitive edge.
Conclusion
Yobe's political terrain is no longer defined by a contest between parties but by a consolidation of power within a dominant APC and the gradual search for a credible alternative.
Unless opposition forces reorganise and unify, the 2027 elections in the state may be decided less at the ballot box between parties and more within the internal calculus of the ruling political establishment.
ANAMBRA STATE
The atmosphere is charged as some of the parties gear up for the next general elections. In Anambra, the governorship election will not be held. It's one of the states involved in off season elections. The last gubernatorial poll was held on November 8, 2025, where Prof. Chukwuma Soludo emerged winner for the second time. Apart from the governorship, all other elective positions are up for grabs
On paper, there are only five 'strong' political parties in the state. They are APC, PDP, APGA, LP and the crisis-ridden ADC.
LP, which was gradually becoming a force in Anambra because of the influence of the 2023 presidential candidate of the party, Peter Obi, has become a vegetable.
This is because those who made it a bit strong like Obi, Senator Victor Umeh, Senator Tony Nwoye and Dr. George Moghalu (its candidate during the last governorship election), have all abandoned the platform. Those politicians claimed they left as a result of the party's unresolved crisis. They have joined forces in ADC.
Members of the aforementioned parties have begun physical and spiritual moves in their localities to woo the electorate. Unfortunately, PDP, one of the parties that ruled the state before APGA took over, has been decimated. LP, touted as the third force before now, has gone into coma after the last governorship election.
The hype and frenzy then were as a result of the social media cacophony from the 'Obidient Movement.' But it turned out to be a disappointment for the candidate, Moghalu. He resigned from the party after the election. Since then, things have fallen apart in the once vibrant party and the center no longer holds.
ADC
This party could be likened to a road under construction which confusion has not allowed to function. It has become a one day, one trouble platform from state to national level.
In Anambra, the state chairman, Comrade Patrick Obianyo, is at daggers drawn with chieftains of the party. He is being pushed aside by those who claim to be the leaders. But the former Labour leader has resisted these moves. Those who joined the party from LP, including former Governor Obi, Senator Ben Ndii Obi from PDP, have been trying to hijack the party from him . While Umeh and Hon. Victor Ogene insist that the chairman's tenure has elapsed, he maintains that he's still in charge. As a result, he has postponed the proposed congress in the state until further notice.
The Nation gathered that none of the leaders of the party wants to do anything with him. It was equally discovered that Obi, Ndii Obi, Senators Umeh and Nwoye did not consult him before joining. The non-recognition of the party's state chairman by chieftains, has heightened tension in ADC.
Despite cancelling the planned congress in the state, the other faction is going ahead with ward and local government congresses without the recognition of INEC. Chairman, Patrick Obianyo, described it as an effort in futility. The crisis has weakened the party the more with no solution in sight.
ADC is floating and building castles in the air in Anambra. For now, it does not pose any threat. But that is likely to happen if the hook of disunity is off its neck. The trouble in the party has slowed down its momentum in Anambra.
APC
Apart from APGA, APC is the second solid political party in the state with an array of political juggernauts. What PDP used to be is what APC has become. Majority of the current members are from the dismantled largest political party in Africa with Senator Emma Anosike as the current chairman.
The only problem being faced by APC is lack of acceptance by majority of the people at the grassroots. This is being attributed to it's inability to produce the governor in the state. It has continued to experience a near-success syndrome as a party in Anambra.
Again, infighting among bigwigs remains one of the reasons denying the party such success in every governorship election. The party parades notable figures like former Governor Chris Ngige, Senator Margery Okadigbo, Anosike, Senator Andy Uba, Senator Uche Ekwunife, Prince Nicholas Ukachukwu and others, yet self-centeredness has denied the party such an opportunity. If all the stakeholders were to join hands and speak with one voice, no party can defeat APC in Anambra. Its major weakness is lack of unity. But its strength lies in the number of heavyweights in its fold.
APGA
This is the only state controlled by the party, and APGA has become a religion in Anambra politics and is likely to remain so for a long time. The only thing that can dislodge it is if the party loses the governorship election, or the governor defects to another party.
The platform has always aligned with the party in power at the center in every governorship election to retain its hold on the state. It happened during the past administrations of PDP and now with APC.
APGA is grassroots oriented in Anambra. This is the reason, it has become difficult for any other party to have a stronghold in the state since PDP lost it in 2006 through court process.
Again, it became so, when Obi introduced religious politics, dividing the Catholic, Anglican and Pentecostal population of the state. That division has remained till date. It has given Catholics the upper hand in determining who becomes governor.
Anambra has a population of 6.5 million people, with over four million identifying as Catholics. They use that numerical strength to dominate other denominations.
Many Anambra workers, traders, students and artisans sing praises of Obi; they worship him like a religion, and any party he joins wins the state at the presidential level. Despite the 'Progressives' mantra between APGA and APC in the state, APGA faithful are in love with Obi. The party does not have popular names, but its backers are the grassroots, with Soludo at the helm of affairs.
Apart from the governor, two other big politicians in its fold are Senator Stella Oduah, a former Minister of Aviation and Chief Osita Chidoka, also one-time Minister of Aviation
PDP
Once, the ruling party in Anambra, but today, it has become an orphan. There is no single notable politician left in the party except one time enfant terrible and godfather of Anambra politics, Chief Chris Uba. He has refused to join any other party, but has been romancing the APGA-led government in the state.
The backers are no longer there and strength has deserted the party, only the carcass is remaining. PDP is not a threat to any party.
LP
Labour Party became vibrant immediately Obi picked it's presidential ticket in 2023. But that fire has since evaporated. He was the soul of the party and gave it the teeth to bite.
That momentum produced two senators in Umeh and Nwoye, alongside five House of Representatives members. All of them are now in ADC. The last governorship candidate, Moghalu, also left, but is yet to settle in any new party.
LP's fate now hangs in the balance in Anambra without any backer, strength or followership. The remaining few are like fish out of water, suffocating.
Any other party in Anambra other than these ones are just making up the numbers.
IMO STATE
APC's stronghold in Imo is largely due to Governor Hope Uzodimma's leadership and influence. Though some people may not like his style of leadership, he has leveraged his position to build a robust party structure across the state's 27 local government areas.
The governor's national-level involvement is a double-edged sword. On one hand, it has drawn attention to the state, possibly attracted resources and support, and strengthened the party's local presence. On the other hand, it creates high expectations among the people, and any perceived shortcoming could backfire. That may arise in the choice of who takes over the leadership saddle from him. Also, with the spotlight on the state, opposition parties, though weak, might be galvanised to mount a stronger challenge.
The governor's recent effort to organise a rancour-free state congress has been a game-changer for the party. By doing so, APC has managed to maintain unity and cohesion within its ranks. This newfound unity has strengthened the party's structure and made it more acceptable to grassroots supporters.
This combination of local structure and national visibility makes APC a formidable force in Imo politics.
With a united front, the party is likely better positioned to connect with voters at the local level, present a cohesive campaign message, mobilise supporters effectively and attract undecided voters. This internal peace which other or most parties lack, could translate to electoral gains if the APC leverages it effectively.
Backers include influential politicians and traditional leaders.
As of early 2026, APC in Imo is tightly consolidated under the leadership of Uzodimma, who is recognised as leader and a major figure within the national APC structure. He is chairman of the Progressive Governors' Forum and the party's 2026 National Convention committee treasurer.
As governor, he controls the structure, which recently adopted a harmonisation process to unify the party.
The state party executive is solid. It is led by Chief Austin Onyedebelu (chairman) and Onyekachi Ibezim (Secretary), who emerged through a recent consensus arrangement.
Imo currently has all three of its senators elected on APC platform, along with a majority of the House of Representatives and State House of Assembly members. All 27 LGA chairmen and councilors are APC members, providing a strong grassroots foundation for the party.
Key stakeholders and politicians
Based on the 10th National Assembly results, key APC members representing Imo State in the House of Representatives include Hon. Eugene Okechukwu Dibiagwu (Ideato North/Ideato South), Hon. Chike John Okafor (Ehime Mbano/Ihitte Uboma/Obowo) and MacDonald Ebere: immediate past state chairman.
There are also key elders backing the party such as Leo Stan Ekeh, Jerry Chukwu, Chief Tony Chukwu. Others include Chief Lemmy Akakem, former Imo APC chairman, Chief Marcellinus Nlemigbo, Chief Ethelbert Nwachukwu and former Governor Ikedi Ohakim.
APC has maintained its dominance in the state through a 'shared prosperity' approach, with significant support from party stakeholders to maintain stability ahead of the 2027 elections.
LP
IT was a rising force, especially after the 2023 presidential election, with Senator Athan Achonu as its candidate. The party's strength was in its populist appeal and growing support base. All that is past. Since Obi left the party, the centre has not held.
ADC
The party is gaining traction with former governor Emeka Ihedioha on board, offering a potential alternative to the APC-PDP duopoly. However, internal crises, factional disputes, and unclear succession plans have left some members uncertain about the party's direction.
PDP
The PDP in Imo has experienced significant leadership turmoil and internal divisions, leading to conflicting claims regarding who its true backers and leaders are as of late 2024 and 2025.
The party which was once dominant, is now struggling with internal crises and defections. Senator Samuel Anyanwu is the disputed PDP National Secretary. He has been involved in controversial issues in the party leadership until he was officially re-elected during a Wike-backed convention held in Abuja on March 29, 2026.
The House of Representatives member representing Ideato North and South federal constituency, Ikenga Imo Ugochinyere, pulled out the party after he was appointed on December 2024 by the forum of 27 chairmen of PDP in Imo. They tasked him with reorganising and reconciling the party ahead of 2027. However, reports claim he faced disciplinary actions from some party members which led to his defection to the Action Peoples Party (APP).
The chairman of the party in Imo, Austin Nwachukwu, is also facing leadership challenges. He was recognised by some factions, while others oppose his leadership.
However, the party has notable leaders and elders. They include former Chairman of the State Caretaker Committee, Chief Chuks Ajaelu; Hon. Arthur Ugochukwu (Zonal Secretary); Chief Mike Ahamba (SAN); Greg Egu, Celestine Ngaobiwu; Chief Cosmas Ajaero; and recently, former Deputy Governor, Prince Eze Madumere, who joined the party.
However, it has been hit by waves of defections to the ruling APC.
Threats and contenders
LP's popularity once posed a threat to APC's dominance, but its momentum has been evaporated, especially after Obi's move to ADC. Ihedioha's defection to the same platform has added complexity to the political landscape. If ADC can resolve its internal issues and build grassroots support, the former governor's presence could pose a significant challenge to APC. Meanwhile, PDP's internal conflicts and defections continue to weaken its position, making it a less formidable opponent.
ENUGU STATE
Enugu State's political landscape is in the midst of a gradual but unmistakable transformation, marked by shifting loyalties, strategic defections, and emergence of new power blocs ahead of the 2027 general elections. For years, the state operated effectively as a one-party stronghold under PDP, but recent developments have disrupted that dominance and introduced a more competitive - though still uneven - political environment.
Today, APC sits atop the hierarchy, while ADC is fast gaining attention as a potential disruptor, and PDP struggles to regain its footing.
At the centre of this evolving equation is APC, which has successfully leveraged incumbency and realignments to establish itself as the dominant force in the state. The party's rise in Enugu is closely tied to the defection of key political actors, most notably the sitting governor, whose move effectively transferred a significant portion of PDP's former structure into APC. This shift has not only expanded APC's grassroots presence but has also given it control of critical levers of governance, from local political networks to administrative influence.
Beyond its structural advantage, APC is also benefiting from its alignment with the Federal Government, a factor that is being projected as a pathway to accelerated development for the state. This narrative has found resonance among stakeholders who see strategic alignment with the centre as a means of attracting federal attention and resources. Additionally, the party has continued to receive a steady stream of defectors from other platforms, further consolidating its hold on the political space.
However, APC's dominance is not without its underlying challenges. The rapid expansion of its membership, while strengthening its numerical base, has also created a coalition of diverse interests that may prove difficult to manage over time. Political actors, who joined from different parties, bring with them varying ambitions and expectations, raising the possibility of internal friction as the 2027 elections draw closer.
It was also gathered that part of the attraction for many defectors - first into PDP and subsequently into APC - was a set of assurances believed to have been made by Governor Peter Mbah, particularly regarding the allocation of certain elective positions to accommodate new entrants and broaden inclusion. While these understandings reportedly helped to ease early resistance and encouraged alignment, the practical challenge of implementing such commitments is now coming into sharper focus. Balancing those expectations with the ambitions of long-standing party loyalists and other aspirants may prove delicate, raising questions about how far such promises can be fulfilled without triggering disaffection within the ranks.
Similarly, some federal lawmakers from the state had defected to APC even before Mbah formally joined the party, largely through rapprochement led by Uche Nnaji, a former minister who had earlier fallen out with the governor's camp. This has led observers to suggest that the two blocs may not be operating in full harmony, a situation that could pose challenges to internal cohesion as the party approaches its primaries.
While APC consolidates its position, ADC is quietly but steadily emerging as the most intriguing force in Enugu politics. Though it does not yet possess the same level of structural depth as the ruling party, its growing appeal lies in a combination of grassroots enthusiasm, elite backing, and a powerful connection to a widely admired political figure in the former LP presidential candidate, Obi. His influence in the Southeast, particularly among young voters and the urban middle class, remains a significant factor that cannot be ignored in any serious political calculation.
ADC's potential to upset the status quo is rooted in this broad-based appeal. In a climate where voter sentiment is increasingly shaped by issues of governance, accountability, and economic performance, the party offers an alternative platform that resonates with those seeking change. This appeal is further amplified by the perception of Obi as a symbol of reform-oriented politics, a factor that continues to attract support beyond traditional party lines.
Interestingly, the party's recent leadership crisis in Enugu State, which resulted in parallel congresses, has been interpreted by many observers as a reflection of its growing relevance rather than a sign of weakness. In the Nigerian political context, internal contests often intensify in parties that are gaining traction, as different factions compete for control of what is seen as a viable platform. The struggle within ADC, therefore, underscores the increasing interest it is generating among political actors across the state.
The party's rising profile is further reinforced by the calibre of individuals associated with it. Among its notable backers is Sir Chinyeaka Ohaa, a former federal permanent secretary with a strong background in public finance and governance, whose technocratic credentials add depth to the party's policy outlook. Also prominent is Gilbert Nnaji, a former senator who represented Enugu East, bringing with him legislative experience and grassroots connections. Equally significant is the presence of Okwesilieze Nwodo, a former governor and ex-national chairman of PDP, whose experience and network lend credibility to ADC's ambitions. Together, these figures represent a blend of administrative expertise and political influence that positions the party as a serious contender if it can consolidate its gains.
In contrast to the ADC's upward trajectory, PDP finds itself in a period of rebuilding and introspection. Once the unchallenged powerhouse in Enugu, the party has been significantly weakened by defections and internal divisions. The loss of its core structure has made it difficult to maintain the level of coordination and influence it once enjoyed. Nonetheless, the party is far from irrelevant. It retains pockets of support, particularly in rural areas where longstanding loyalties continue to hold sway.
It also benefits from the presence of notable figures who remain committed to its revival. Among them is Uche Nnaji, a former Minister of Innovation, Science and Technology, whose political experience and national exposure provide a degree of visibility for the party. Alongside him is Chief Samson Chukwu Nnamani, widely recognised for his philanthropic activities and grassroots engagement, which have earned him goodwill among sections of the electorate. These individuals, along with other loyalists, represent the PDP's hope of rebuilding a viable structure capable of competing in future elections.
Despite these assets, the challenges facing the party are considerable. The party must not only rebuild its organisational framework but also overcome internal divisions that have weakened its cohesion. Its ability to present a united front and articulate a compelling alternative to APC will be critical to its prospects. Without such efforts, it risks being overshadowed by the rising momentum of ADC.
Meanwhile, LP, which once enjoyed significant enthusiasm during the 2023 election cycle, has seen its influence decline sharply. The departure of key figures and the absence of a strong grassroots structure have reduced its competitiveness in the state. Much of its earlier support base, particularly among young voters, appears to have migrated to other platforms, including the ADC, in search of a more viable political vehicle.
Similarly, APGA and other smaller parties continue to operate on the margins of Enugu politics. While they maintain pockets of support, their impact remains limited, and they are more likely to play secondary roles, either as spoilers in closely contested races or as partners in potential alliances.
Taken together, the political dynamics in the state point to a gradual shift from a one-party dominance to a more pluralistic, though still asymmetrical or uneven, system. The APC remains firmly in control, benefiting from incumbency and a broad coalition of political actors. ADC, however, is emerging as the most credible challenger, with the potential to reshape the contest if it can harness its growing support and resolve internal disputes. PDP, despite its current weaknesses, retains enough structure and experience to remain part of the conversation, particularly if it can successfully reorganise.
As the 2027 elections approach, the interplay between these forces will define the trajectory of Enugu politics. Much will depend on how effectively APC manages its internal dynamics, whether ADC can translate its momentum into a cohesive political machine, and how quickly the PDP can rebuild its base. What is clear, however, is that the era of unquestioned dominance is over, replaced by a more fluid and unpredictable political environment.
For now, the balance of power favours APC, but the presence of a rising challenger in the ADC and a resilient, if weakened, PDP ensures that the contest for Enugu State remains open - setting the stage for what could become one of the most closely watched political battles in the Southeast.
EBONYI STATE
In view of the homogeneous political culture in Ebonyi State, it is APC versus other parties in 2027. ADC is coming up but it may be racing against time in the looming contest.
APC
The APC currently dominates the political space and remains the party to beat. Governor Francis Nwifuru has successfully consolidated power by bringing together key political stakeholders across the state under the party's umbrella. This growing influence was further strengthened by the defection of three members of the House of Representatives - Kama Nkemanma (LP), Idu Igariwey (PDP), and Joseph Nwobasi (APGA).
The party has also attracted heavyweight political figures, including former Secretary to the Government of the Federation, Anyim Pius Anyim, and Senator Obinna Ogba, among others.
Another factor bolstering APC's position is the cordial relationship between Governor Nwifuru and his predecessor, now Minister of Works, David Umahi. This alliance signals continuity and internal stability at the top.
However, the party faces a potential internal crisis ahead of its primaries. The state chairman, Stanley Okoro Emegha, recently warned aspirants not to purchase nomination forms without clearance from the governor. This directive has drawn widespread criticism as undemocratic and could trigger internal dissent. How APC manages this situation may determine its cohesion, as aggrieved members could undermine the party if not properly managed.
ADC
ADC has emerged as the most visible opposition platform in the state. Key figures driving the party include former governor Sam Egwu, former House of Representatives member Linus Okorie, and former PDP state chairman, Silas Onu.
Despite this, the party is grappling with internal divisions following parallel congresses that produced two separate State Executive Committees. Onu emerged from the congress recognised by the national leadership led by David Mark, while the incumbent chairperson, Jennifer Adibe, emerged from a rival process whose legitimacy remains disputed.
These internal conflicts, coupled with relatively weaker structures and limited cohesion, pose a significant challenge to ADC's ability to effectively compete with APC.
APGA
APGA has significantly declined in influence. Its 2023 success - winning a House of Representatives seat - was largely driven by the popularity of its governorship candidate, Bernard Odoh. However, he has since defected to APC, along with the lawmaker who won in his constituency.
The party has experienced mass defections and is unlikely to mount a serious challenge in future elections, especially with electoral reforms limiting late exits.
PDP
The PDP is currently in disarray in Ebonyi. Internal crises at the national level have cascaded down to the state, leading to leadership disputes and widespread defections.
There is ongoing confusion over the legitimate state executive leadership. However, the party's 2023 governorship candidate, Ifeanyi Odii, remains a notable figure. After briefly stepping away during the height of the crisis, he returned and participated in the party's national convention aligned with the faction led by Wike.
LP
LP made modest gains in the 2023 elections, securing one House of Representatives seat and one State Assembly seat, largely due to the “Obi effect.”
However, both elected officials have since defected to APC, taking many supporters with them. This has left the party significantly weakened and largely inactive in the state.
Conclusion
The APC remains firmly in control of Ebonyi's political landscape, bolstered by high-profile defections and strong internal alliances. However, its dominance is not without risk - internal party management, particularly during primaries, will be crucial.
The ADC stands as the most viable opposition but is hindered by internal crises. Meanwhile, PDP, APGA, and LP are struggling with structural weaknesses, defections, and leadership disputes.
ABIA STATE
In 2023, Abia made headlines following the election of Governor Alex Otti of LP. He made history as the first opposition governorship candidate to defeat the flag bearer of a ruling party.
The victory wouldn't have been possible but for a few factors that worked in his favour, including the Obi wave, the desire of Abians to have a change of leadership, and not forgetting the role played by INEC State Returning Officer, Prof. Nnenna Oti, who reportedly defied the pressure of the ruling class and party in the state to announce the results of the polls. The ballot was counted and she declared Otti winner.
Since 2023, there has been a lot of alignment and realignment in the state resulting in defections of members of various parties, especially those of PDP moving into the two major parties: APC and LP.
While APC appears to be united at the national level, the same cannot be said for the state leadership.
It would be recalled that the reason the state congress was rescheduled was because of the internal crisis. The gladiators are fighting for the soul of the party.
It was gathered that despite the intervention of the national chairman, some party members who still felt aggrieved have distanced themselves from its affairs.
Some of them who at one point or the other, openly identified with the ruling party have received several sanctions from the leadership of the party in the state.
Analysts have stated that going by the array of gladiators in APC in the state, questions will be asked if the party fails to produce the next governor. Apart from the PDP that has grassroots structures, APC is the next party that has presence in almost all wards in the state.
As part of efforts to woo many opposition members to the party, the Deputy Speaker, House of Representatives, Benjamin Kalu, has in the past few months embarked on visitation to some PDP, APGA leaders as well as those of other parties .
The visits have partly yielded positive fruits. The likes of member representing Obingwa West State Constituency, Hon. Erondu Uchenna Erondu decamped from PDP to join APC.
A former lawmaker and commissioner of Trade and Commerce, Hon. Cosmos Ndukwe who resigned from PDP is today an apostle of Kalu, just as the current Chief of Staff to Kalu, Sam Hart, an aide to former Governor of Abia State, Dr. Okezie Ikpeazu, joined APC.
Unconfirmed sources say APC in Abia is majorly funded by Kalu. This was why he was reportedly allowed to nominate the chairman of the party at the just concluded state congress.
It was gathered that the Deputy Speaker, leveraging on the campaign for increased votes for President Tinubu in the Southeast and the state in particular, has been able to raise the presence of the party in Abia's 17 local government areas.
While much has not been heard of APGA, the departure of Senator representing Abia South Senatorial District, Enyinnaya Abaribe, for ADC and Hon. Alex Ifeanyi Mascot Ikwechegh, the member representing Aba North and South Federal Constituency, (who recently joined the Labour Party), has dealt a severe blow to its existence and funding in the state.
At the time of filing the report, APGA doesn't have any member in any elective position in the National Assembly and state House of Assembly. The party is financially starved unless intervention comes from prospective aspirants ahead of the 2027 general elections.
For ADC, just like the crisis rocking the leadership of the party at the national level, the leadership in the state is equally engrossed in crisis with Mazi Kanu O. Kanu and Don Normal Obinna-led factions laying claim to the structure of the party.
While Kanu had been attending meetings called by the David Mark-led leadership, Obinna has been attending those convened by Nafiu Bala Gombe.
Despite his suspension from the party by the Kanu-led faction, Obinna has continued to embark on tour of various local government areas, holding party meetings and mobilising support.
Meanwhile, apart from Abaribe who is aiming to return to the Senate, there is little or no presence of the party in the state. There are indications that the party may, however, work with the LP-led government.
Apart from APC which has been playing the major opposition role, PDP has also been holding the government accountable. However, the mass defection of members from the party has further whittled down its strength.
The party is also facing leadership crisis. Two factions, led by Amah Abraham and Emeka-Yellow Ikpegbu, are laying claim to the leadership of the party. Despite this problem and mass defection, the party has presence in all the wards and is still seen as an alternative party.
With the fate of both Julius Abure and Nenadi Usman led factions waiting for the outcome of suits at the Supreme Court, LP under the guidance of Otti as governor of Abia and national leader, has continued to witness influx of members from PDP, APC, APGA and other parties in the state.
Unlike in 2023, the party can boast of some political heavyweights like the immediate past Deputy Governor of the state, Sir Ude Oko Chukwu.
Reports have it that many legislators in LP will be getting automatic ticket as a result of plans to adopt consensus mode of primaries in choosing their candidates for the 2027 general elections.
With Otti as a major financier of the party and his achievements in the state, it is expected that he would be the sole candidate of the party in the governorship race.
This is even as it has been in the rumour mills that LP might adopt Tinubu as its presidential candidate.
Though the exit of Obi is expected to affect the support base of the party in 2027, the people of the state have shown commitment to still support the party.
The 2027 race in Abia is said to be a three-horse race involving PDP, APC and LP. Many pundits have said that it will be the true test of strength and popularity of both the government in power, PDP and APC, which came close to producing the governor of the state in 2019 when a High Court declared Uche Ogah governor of the state.
